Understanding the p-Value: A Guide for Statisticians
Summary: This blog explains the role of p-values in statistical analysis, highlighting their significance in testing hypotheses and understanding evidence against the null hypothesis. It also emphasizes the need to consider sample size and effect size when interpreting p-values, cautioning against arbitrary significance thresholds. Reading Time: Approximately 7–10 minutes. When we test something in science, we start with a basic assumption called the null hypothesis (H₀) —it usually says "nothing is happening" or "there's no effect." Then, we collect data and calculate a number (called a test statistic ) to see how unusual our data is compared to what we'd expect if the null hypothesis were true. The p-value tells us the chance of getting a result as surprising (or even more surprising) than what we observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true. A small p-value (like less than 0.05) means our result is really surprising, so we might reject the null hyp...